Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.612709 3.013131 3.455264 3.979833 4.585517 5.263263 6.079735
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.049235 2.566310 3.186112 3.984496 4.986965 6.205826 7.803293
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.646077 2.214833 2.947175 3.960864 5.330739 7.122329 9.651485
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.302269 1.868012 2.644510 3.790752 5.445235 7.755516 11.242591
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.043454 1.585480 2.373461 3.606242 5.494884 8.293369 12.782073
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.902280 1.445416 2.277859 3.651798 5.875639 9.356508 15.263144
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.760603 1.278755 2.112209 3.556942 6.016317 10.064716 17.299983
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.701671 1.234448 2.131240 3.759253 6.665640 11.682977 21.101018
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.640356 1.175139 2.114157 3.893827 7.215198 13.209598 24.990914
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.570816 1.089512 2.036855 3.905938 7.541958 14.382958 28.420101
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.485356 0.960789 1.861429 3.706017 7.435646 14.730022 30.311524
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.452422 0.927902 1.861216 3.843582 8.005588 16.459420 35.241772
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.428330 0.910943 1.893371 4.059436 8.786396 18.768432 41.862289
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.393112 0.865544 1.861310 4.136728 9.289870 20.585694 47.756281
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.357397 0.813520 1.807570 4.158500 9.675975 22.213007 53.522808
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.313196 0.735697 1.686050 4.008074 9.645265 22.899044 57.202090
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.273291 0.661510 1.561492 3.829953 9.518190 23.335984 60.343769
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.253595 0.632381 1.537177 3.889414 9.980617 25.266326 67.626425
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.227151 0.582644 1.456253 3.795101 10.039704 26.202568 72.472833
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.220434 0.581761 1.495549 4.015762 10.956258 29.492346 84.335947
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.210250 0.570290 1.506291 4.162677 11.699754 32.446845 95.818542
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.194884 0.542600 1.470673 4.177547 12.080158 34.471836 104.986116
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.171659 0.489792 1.360136 3.964644 11.775073 34.515954 108.217909